In 1998 as President Bill Clinton was facing an impeachment vote,he ordered airstrikes on Iraq which led to delay in voting of impeachment proceedings against him.It is widely believed that Clinton ordered the airstrikes to divert public attention from impeachment proceedings.Eventually Clinton was impeached but he still came out of it as he was acquitted in the Senate trial.
It is often said that History repeats itself .The killing of Iranian General Qassem Soleimani on 3rd January 2020 near Baghdad International Airport by American Drone Strike on the orders of Twitter Savvy US President Donald Trump who stated that General Qassem Soleimani was plotting attacks to hit American installation like military base and Embassy in the Middle East.He even blamed General Soleimani for the attack on Israel Defence attache in Delhi Embassy which had taken place way back in 2012.Just like Iraq airstrikes during Clinton presidency the timing of attack on General Qassem Soleimani has certainly raised many eyebrows and very few people are taking in Trump defence of launching Drone Attack on Iranian General.
Just like Clinton tried to divert public attention from his impeachment proceedings,Trump is trying to shore up his image among his countrymen.President Trump is selling Old wine in new bottle.Trump though unlike Clinton is already impeached before Drone Strike,He awaits Senate Trial.He is trying to shore up his ratings among his country lawmakers as well with his domestic audience.
Unfortunately it is Iraq which bore the brunt in Clinton ordered Airstrikes in 1998 then and now in Trump ordered Drone Attack.Not to forget Iraq was invaded by Americans during George W Bush under false pretense of it hording Weapons of Mass Destruction.
It was none other than Donald Trump who had accused his predecessor Barak Obama will launch war on Iran to help him get re-elected as a President who knows how to take decisive decisions.
Despite not achieving its political objective in Afghanistan,Iraq and Syria,America under Trump is itching to take on another country.
In all this geo-political tensions it is India which is the biggest victim among all other countries in the region.
Till May 2019 India was one of the largest purchaser of crude oil second only to China from Iran.Iran was the only OIC (Organization of Islamic Cooperation-a group of around 57 countries)country ever come to India’s rescue on Kashmir as it blocked a resolution by other members of OIC to ask the UN Human Rights Council to sanction India.
Iran is the only Islamic country which has always stood in support for India in all International Bodies.Today with the increasing tensions between US And Iran has resulted in surging of crude oil prices,it will leave a big hole in India's economy which is already grappling with slowdown.The automobile industry already reeling under the impact of increasing capex for transitioning to BS-6 Complaint vehicles will be hit.Also biggest impact will be felt by aviation players.
On top of this Pakistan will emerge as an important ally again to decision makers in Washington D.C. Just like how Pakistan soil was used as forward base for American troops after 9/11 to launch strikes in Afghanistan,Pakistan will cunningly make the most of it's location as Iran Neighbour and will welcome Americans with both arms to use their soil in return for funding which it desperately needs now as it's on the brink of economic disaster.
This US-Iran tensions is like God sent gift to Pakistanis.Don't be surprised if you find that American assets used for attacking Iran should things escalate further from here were found to have taken off from Pakistan Air Force Bases.If there is a major escalation Pakistan will use this opportunity to create mischief on its eastern front with its arch enemy India as it knows America will turn blind eye since it needs Pakistan support in order to attack Iran.
In all scenarios it is India which will be the biggest victim.
