Wednesday 17 June 2020

Betrayed Again!!!

It came as a surprise to everyone when after over four decades of saber-rattling and minor scuffles barring few like Doklam crisis, a border dispute between China and India has turned fatal.

We were surprised because we as a country have never learnt lessons from History.This Gandhi principles are bred in our blood since ages.It has been a part of our upbringing and  hence if we look at our history it is because of our lack of military sense and strategic vision that we have continuously shrunken in size.

Nehru didn't respond positively to feelers sent by US to have the UN Security Council permanent seat be given to India by pushing China out.US didn't want China to become member of UNSC because of its communist and soviet leanings. Nehru didn't want to antagonize the  mighty neighbour by going against it and he took several steps defending China like opposing UN resolutions branding China as an aggressor in the Korean war.China payed our friendship back with interest in 1962.

China in return has repeatedly blocked proposals at the United Nations to designate Jaish-e-Mohammad chief Masood Azhar as a global terrorist in the same UNSC.

Before the ambush in which Chinese soldiers killed more than 20 Indian Army soldiers,Chinese had agreed to de-escalate 21 times in talks across 5 separate military rank levels & MEA level over 40 days.Its  the biggest betrayal modern warfare has seen in recent times.

Chinese President Xi Jinping is killing 2 birds with a single stone by escalating the ongoing standoff in Galwan Valley.1->He is desperate to divert his countrymen attention from Chinese leadership  complicity in Corona Virus spread.China being the mecca of manufacturing doesn't give 2 hoots to losing Indian markets for their companies.It has recently filled up its strategic oil reserves taking advantage of lowest crude oil price  ever, it has ensured them fuel worth  of 6 months even if India along with US  block off their oil supplies,80 % of which moves through Straits of Malacca.Just like Siliguri Corridor is our Chicken Neck ,Straits of Malacca is China's chokepoint.

Despite China operating a Naval base in Dijbouti on the Horn of Africa its base and Naval assets in Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea can be easily tackled if US comes in active support of ours should push comes to shove.

Our Negligent attitude towards procurement of arms will bring a heavy toll for us should situation spiral out of control.The recent incident of Nepal Border police firing and killing an unharmed Indian farmer and also Nepal PM's hostile moves by claiming several Indian villages on border as belonging to Nepal are all sinister designs of China.In few days we will come across similar border tensions along our Eastern neighbour -Bangladesh.

Pakistan Defence experts have always expressed openly their lost opportunity of Grabbing Kashmir during 1962 Sino -India War.Pakistan through its proxies in all likelihood create some mischief like the URI massacre or maybe A Pulwama Style attack.Pakistan has long been the surrogate child of China.

2->The second reason  of China's belligerent attitude and its itching for escalation is to make India look as a weak and unviable destination for foreign investors  who were planning to switch their manufacturing base to India from China in the wake of the geopolitical and economic repercussions of the Covid-19 pandemic so as to reduce their dependency on China.

China wants India to escalate so that our economy already in tatters because of Chinese Virus takes a further hit.If we are unable to keep this border tension as sector specific like how we did with Pakistan in 1999 will have an adverse impact on our economy.

China  has always considered India to be a long term threat and the Chinese leadership wanted to deliver a major blow to India's political and military leadership.Our negligence to falling Indian Air Force squadron strength will hit us big if there is a full scale war which China wants.Our Defence capability has taken a huge hit ever since A K Anthony became Defense Minister.We may pay a heavy price for A K Anthony insistence of maintaining a clean image by not signing our critical defence needs.We couldn't hit back Pakistan when they carried out Operation Swift retort.I hope we dont come across such a scenario where we were handicapped by our obsolete Defence equipments.

By murdering  more than 20 of our men China has set us a trap.How we dodge this trap by exacting revenge and at the same time how we keep this tension localised and not get into full scale war will decide whether we survive this trap or not.